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A new online tool to approximate the date of your death is now open to the public, reports the New York Times.
Earlier this month, after publishing an explanatory article in the Journal of the American Medical Association, researchers at the University of California-SF unveiled ePrognosis.org, a centralized hub for 16 differing questions for patients and physicians to plug in answers and receive a statistical likelihood of possible dates of death, with a range between six months and five years. Its accuracy is purported to run from "moderate" to "very good," and is useful primarily for older populations.
The greatest purpose for this new tool is to aid decision makers -- doctors, patients, and guardians -- on the best course of treatment. For example, if a treatment is designed to work after 8 years but the test determines that a patient has only 5 years to live, the patient may decide against going through with the burdensome regimen, especially if it would involve side effects, more expense, tedious monitoring, and the abandonment of an alternative like hospice care -- an alternative that is far too often ignored until the patient has only days to live.
The tool's informative properties convinced researchers to release it to the public with almost no barriers to accessibility. However, despite its accuracy, they caution that it is not precise and requires a thorough knowledge of the software to achieve the most accurate results.
Variables include age, health conditions, cognitive status, and functional ability.
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